CD Ourense vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1995 |
CDO
2 - 2
MLL
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1995 |
CDB
1 - 0
CDO
72%
19%
9%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
CDO
0 - 3
MER
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
HER
5 - 0
CDO
70%
20%
10%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
CDO
0 - 0
OSA
31%
28%
42%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1995 |
VIL
3 - 1
AMA
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
MLL
2 - 2
VIL
69%
20%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
VIL
3 - 0
FCB
34%
27%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
CDB
2 - 1
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
VIL
3 - 0
LLE
31%
30%
39%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |