CD Ourense vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
COM
1 - 0
CDO
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
CDO
4 - 2
CUL
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
BAR
3 - 0
CDO
43%
28%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
CDO
1 - 0
CAU
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
CDO
3 - 1
PON
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
LUG
1 - 1
PON
39%
27%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
SPB
5 - 3
LUG
39%
28%
33%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
LUG
2 - 2
GER
44%
27%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
PON
0 - 1
LUG
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
LUG
2 - 2
AUR
42%
29%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |