Segunda B Playoffs Liguilla Ascenso. Jor. 1

CD Ourense vs AgD Ceuta analysis

CD Ourense AgD Ceuta
58 ELO 60
-0.5% Tilt -11.7%
19123º General ELO ranking 18447º
5778º Country ELO ranking 5369º
ELO win probability
47.2%
CD Ourense
24.4%
Draw
28.5%
AgD Ceuta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
CD Ourense
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.5%
Win probability
AgD Ceuta
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

CD Ourense
AgD Ceuta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Ourense
CD Ourense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2001
CDO
CD Ourense
2 - 2
Pontevedra
PON
67%
20%
13%
60 43 17 0
06 May. 2001
PON
Ponferradina
0 - 2
CD Ourense
CDO
31%
28%
41%
59 45 14 +1
27 Apr. 2001
CDO
CD Ourense
1 - 0
Zamora
ZAM
56%
24%
20%
59 55 4 0
22 Apr. 2001
CDO
CD Ourense
1 - 2
Real Ávila
AVI
65%
21%
15%
59 42 17 0
15 Apr. 2001
SIE
Club Siero
0 - 2
CD Ourense
CDO
29%
28%
43%
59 39 20 0

Matches

AgD Ceuta
AgD Ceuta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2001
AGD
AgD Ceuta
4 - 0
UD Melilla
MEL
65%
22%
13%
58 51 7 0
06 May. 2001
SFE
CD San Fernando
1 - 1
AgD Ceuta
AGD
28%
26%
46%
59 46 13 -1
29 Apr. 2001
AGD
AgD Ceuta
1 - 1
Granada
GRA
56%
24%
19%
59 55 4 0
22 Apr. 2001
BAL
RB Linense
2 - 1
AgD Ceuta
AGD
27%
26%
46%
59 46 13 0
06 Apr. 2001
XER
Xerez CD
2 - 2
AgD Ceuta
AGD
39%
27%
35%
59 57 2 0
X