UD Ourense vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
OUR
3 - 1
UDO
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
UDO
1 - 3
ARE
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
RIB
2 - 2
UDO
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
UDO
2 - 1
BOU
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
PON
1 - 1
UDO
16%
21%
64%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CHO
0 - 0
ALO
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
EST
1 - 1
CHO
30%
26%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ARO
1 - 2
CHO
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
OUR
0 - 1
CHO
60%
22%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARE
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |