UD Ourense vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PON
1 - 1
UDO
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
UDO
2 - 0
ARO
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
UPH
1 - 1
UDO
45%
24%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
UDO
0 - 4
ATB
12%
20%
68%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
RCV
1 - 3
UDO
58%
23%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CHO
3 - 2
POL
56%
22%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
BOU
0 - 1
CHO
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
DEP
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 2
BOI
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 0
CHO
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |