UD Ourense vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
45%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
UDO
3 - 0
ARZ
67%
19%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
EST
0 - 0
UDO
43%
26%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
UDO
2 - 3
ARO
31%
24%
46%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 1
UDO
67%
20%
14%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
UDO
2 - 0
UPH
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
RCV
2 - 1
ARO
23%
23%
55%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ARO
4 - 2
SOM
66%
22%
13%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
UDO
2 - 3
ARO
31%
24%
46%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ARO
1 - 0
CHO
74%
18%
8%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ART
2 - 2
ARO
23%
23%
55%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |