AC Oulu vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
7º
6º
36
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
63% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
37% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Oulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 2
KUO
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 2
OUL
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 3
SEI
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 1
OUL
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
HAK
2 - 2
OUL
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
VAA
2 - 1
IFK
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VAA
0 - 0
HON
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
TER
0 - 2
VAA
4%
8%
89%
|
64 | 21 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
HJK
4 - 0
VAA
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VAA
0 - 1
HJK
26%
28%
47%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |