Ougrée vs Amay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ougrée
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
RAE
0 - 0
OUG
69%
16%
15%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
OUG
1 - 2
BAN
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BEA
2 - 4
OUG
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
OUG
2 - 3
WAR
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
WAN
0 - 1
OUG
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Amay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
BEA
33%
26%
42%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 0
MEL
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
WAR
0 - 0
AMA
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 2
WAN
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
WAR
1 - 1
AMA
38%
23%
38%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |