Otura CF vs Parque Nuevo Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otura CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
EST
1 - 2
OTU
16%
19%
65%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
OTU
0 - 0
CAS
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
OAT
2 - 3
OTU
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
OTU
2 - 1
ESC
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CFC
1 - 2
OTU
21%
20%
60%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Parque Nuevo Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
EST
0 - 2
ALH
16%
18%
67%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
EST
67%
16%
17%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
EST
3 - 6
MED
17%
19%
64%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CUL
4 - 0
EST
73%
15%
13%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
EST
2 - 2
CFL
36%
22%
42%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |