Ottawa Fury SC vs Vermont Voltage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ottawa Fury SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
OFS
1 - 0
SEA
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2008 |
JER
3 - 0
OFS
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
BKN
2 - 1
OFS
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
OFS
4 - 0
RIS
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
VER
1 - 0
OFS
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vermont Voltage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
SEA
1 - 1
VER
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
CCC
2 - 0
VER
74%
17%
10%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
RIS
4 - 5
VER
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
VER
0 - 2
BKN
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -4 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
VER
2 - 5
CCC
22%
24%
53%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +2 |