OTP vs JBK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
12º
6º
12
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 1
OTP
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
OTP
3 - 1
HER
53%
20%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
OTP
1 - 1
NAR
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ROP
3 - 2
OTP
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
TP4
1 - 3
OTP
62%
18%
19%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
JBK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
JBK
0 - 3
VIF
29%
22%
49%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
OLS
5 - 0
JBK
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
JBK
1 - 2
GBK
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
KUO
1 - 0
JBK
42%
22%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 2
JBK
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |