Otago University vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
OTU
6 - 0
NAF
92%
6%
2%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
CAV
1 - 4
OTU
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +3 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
OTU
2 - 0
ROW
70%
16%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
MOS
5 - 2
OTU
43%
22%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
OTU
1 - 0
QUE
63%
18%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
DUN
3 - 0
NAF
94%
5%
1%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
WNK
5 - 2
DUN
6%
11%
83%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | -3 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 2
GIA
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
CAV
0 - 0
DUN
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 0
ROW
89%
8%
3%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | -1 |