Otago United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
WAI
3 - 3
OTA
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OTA
1 - 3
AUC
20%
25%
56%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 0
OTA
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
HAW
4 - 2
OTA
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OTA
2 - 2
MAN
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
WAI
6 - 1
MAN
85%
11%
5%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 6
TEA
19%
21%
60%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
1 - 1
MAN
57%
21%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 6
AUC
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OTA
2 - 2
MAN
53%
22%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |