Ostrovets vs BATE Borisov II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+97%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostrovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 3
OFC
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ZOR
0 - 1
OFC
50%
23%
28%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MOL
1 - 1
OFC
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OFC
1 - 0
BAR
67%
19%
15%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
MKK
3 - 1
OFC
68%
18%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
BATE Borisov II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
BAT
0 - 1
MOL
16%
21%
63%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
BAT
72%
17%
12%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
MKK
1 - 0
BAT
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 69 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 0
FCN
14%
18%
69%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 1
BAT
79%
14%
8%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |