Ostia Mare vs Flaminia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
LRO
0 - 1
OST
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LAT
3 - 0
OST
70%
20%
10%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
OST
1 - 1
UST
81%
13%
7%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
OST
1 - 0
SSC
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
OST
1 - 0
LAT
14%
23%
63%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Flaminia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
NUO
38%
26%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BUD
0 - 1
FLA
37%
25%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FLA
0 - 1
TRA
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
FLA
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 2
APR
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |