Ostia Mare vs Budoni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
BUD
4 - 3
OST
44%
25%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
OST
3 - 3
RIE
10%
20%
70%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NUO
3 - 2
OST
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
OST
2 - 2
TRA
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MON
3 - 0
OST
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Budoni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
BUD
4 - 3
OST
44%
25%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SSC
2 - 2
BUD
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BUD
0 - 1
RIE
10%
20%
70%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
BUD
1 - 0
NUO
47%
25%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LRO
0 - 1
BUD
64%
21%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |