Q. Europa League Play-off. Final
Global 3-3
Östersunds FK vs PAOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Östersunds FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
OST
0 - 3
AIK
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
PAO
3 - 1
OST
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
HIF
2 - 2
OST
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
GIF
1 - 1
OST
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 2
OST
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LEV
0 - 0
PAO
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
PAO
3 - 1
OST
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
PAO
0 - 1
LAM
86%
11%
3%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
PAO
2 - 0
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 1
PAO
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |