Österlen vs Karlshamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
14º
8º
13
6º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 56 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 47 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 46 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 41 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 40 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 39 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 33 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 32 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 30 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 29 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 29 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 28 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 24 |
14º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 57% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 29.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Österlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
OST
2 - 3
HOG
56%
20%
24%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 0
OST
67%
18%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
OST
4 - 1
NOS
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
HOG
3 - 2
OST
26%
21%
54%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
OST
1 - 1
KAR
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Karlshamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
IFK
4 - 3
RAP
20%
20%
60%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
TRE
3 - 0
IFK
69%
16%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
0 - 4
KAR
27%
22%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
NOS
4 - 0
IFK
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 0
TRE
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |