Ostbahn XI vs Donau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostbahn XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
OST
8 - 0
LAC
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
OST
1 - 0
ADM
53%
23%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
OST
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
OST
2 - 0
STA
42%
25%
32%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
POS
3 - 3
OST
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DON
0 - 1
FAV
28%
22%
49%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LAC
2 - 2
DON
49%
22%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
DON
0 - 0
TEA
21%
22%
57%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ADM
2 - 0
DON
63%
20%
18%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DON
2 - 1
DON
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |