OSS '20 vs UNA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VEN
3 - 3
OSS
43%
24%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
OSS
1 - 3
MEE
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PAP
2 - 1
OSS
28%
24%
49%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
OSS
0 - 1
BAR
42%
26%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 0
OSS
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
UNA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
UNA
1 - 1
UDI
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
GEM
1 - 2
UNA
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
UNA
0 - 3
EVV
45%
26%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DES
1 - 6
UNA
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
UNA
0 - 0
OJC
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |