OSS '20 vs Lienden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
OSS
3 - 1
GRO
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
HSC
0 - 3
OSS
24%
22%
54%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
OSS
0 - 2
DEM
80%
14%
7%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
OSS
3 - 2
BLA
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ADO
1 - 1
OSS
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LIE
1 - 0
QUI
13%
19%
68%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GRO
3 - 1
LIE
72%
18%
11%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LIE
0 - 3
OOS
11%
18%
72%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LIE
1 - 1
ADO
20%
20%
60%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
LIE
1 - 3
ADO
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |