OSS '20 vs AWC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DOS
2 - 1
OSS
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
OSS
3 - 0
DEV
46%
24%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SCH
3 - 5
OSS
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OSS
0 - 3
TIE
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BLA
1 - 1
OSS
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DEV
3 - 1
AWC
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AWC
0 - 3
BLA
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
AWC
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AWC
0 - 4
DOS
25%
22%
54%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DEU
2 - 1
AWC
64%
21%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |