Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-0
NK Osijek vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
OSI
1 - 1
DZG
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
PSV
0 - 1
OSI
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
IST
1 - 1
OSI
22%
27%
50%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
FCL
2 - 1
OSI
49%
24%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
OSI
1 - 1
RUD
66%
22%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
PSV
0 - 1
OSI
73%
18%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
GCZ
3 - 1
PSV
19%
22%
60%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
PSV
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
SIO
0 - 1
PSV
25%
23%
52%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
RKC
0 - 2
PSV
12%
19%
69%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |