1. HNL Round 19

NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica analysis

NK Osijek HNK Gorica
82 ELO 73
-17.3% Tilt 3.1%
336º General ELO ranking 1257º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
54.2%
NK Osijek
25.5%
Draw
20.3%
HNK Gorica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
NK Osijek
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
20.3%
Win probability
HNK Gorica
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NK Osijek
-7%
+1%
HNK Gorica

Points and table prediction

NK Osijek
Their league position
HNK Gorica
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
32
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dinamo Zagreb
81
81
100%
HNK Hajduk Split
71
71
100%
NK Osijek
50
50
100%
HNK Rijeka
49
49
100%
NK Istra 1961
46
46
0%
NK Varazdin
46
46
0%
Lokomotiva
43
43
100%
NK Slaven Belupo
43
43
100%
HNK Gorica
32
32
100%
HNK Sibenik
10º
27
27
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NK Osijek
NK Osijek
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2023
OSI
NK Osijek
1 - 1
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
47%
26%
27%
82 78 4 0
14 Jan. 2023
OSI
NK Osijek
2 - 1
Javor Ivanjica
JAV
66%
21%
13%
83 65 18 -1
14 Jan. 2023
OSI
NK Osijek
1 - 0
Fehérvár
FHV
53%
25%
23%
83 75 8 0
07 Jan. 2023
OSI
NK Osijek
1 - 2
Budapest Honved
BUD
61%
23%
16%
83 70 13 0
13 Nov. 2022
HNS
HNK Sibenik
0 - 2
NK Osijek
OSI
18%
23%
60%
82 68 14 +1

Matches

HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2023
DZG
Dinamo Zagreb
0 - 0
HNK Gorica
HNG
72%
17%
10%
74 84 10 0
18 Jan. 2023
HNG
HNK Gorica
0 - 0
NK Varazdin
NKV
50%
26%
24%
74 71 3 0
12 Jan. 2023
HNG
HNK Gorica
3 - 1
Radnicki Novi Beograd
RNB
79%
14%
6%
74 52 22 0
11 Jan. 2023
FKA
Arsenal Tivat
0 - 2
HNK Gorica
HNG
19%
23%
59%
74 60 14 0
06 Jan. 2023
HNG
HNK Gorica
0 - 0
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
34%
24%
42%
74 78 4 0