OSC Bremerhaven vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
3º
40
9º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSC Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GEE
2 - 4
OSC
50%
21%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OSC
2 - 1
SVH
16%
18%
67%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EHB
2 - 3
OSC
36%
23%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OSC
4 - 0
TRB
64%
18%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 1
OSC
25%
20%
56%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SGA
3 - 3
VAT
79%
12%
9%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BTN
2 - 1
SGA
38%
21%
41%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SGA
4 - 2
VAB
81%
12%
8%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SGA
2 - 1
OBE
40%
20%
41%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GEE
4 - 1
SGA
54%
19%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |