Oberliga Bremen Round 4

OSC Bremerhaven vs BTS Neustadt analysis

OSC Bremerhaven BTS Neustadt
50 ELO 47
7.5% Tilt 26.7%
5231º General ELO ranking 6315º
254º Country ELO ranking 318º
ELO win probability
51.8%
OSC Bremerhaven
21.5%
Draw
26.7%
BTS Neustadt

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
OSC Bremerhaven
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.7%
Win probability
BTS Neustadt
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
OSC Bremerhaven
-39%
-28%
BTS Neustadt

Points and table prediction

OSC Bremerhaven
Their league position
BTS Neustadt
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SV Hemelingen
3
76
88%
Oberneuland
6
62
38%
Geestemünde
11º
1
57
29.5%
OSC Bremerhaven
6
50
7.5%
Brinkumer SV
1
48
12%
SG Aumund-Vegesack
14º
0
48
11%
Blumenthaler SV
13º
0
47
9.5%
Union Bremen
3
45
9.5%
BTS Neustadt
3
42
8.5%
Eiche Horn
3
42
10º
14%
Werder Bremen III
10º
1
33
11º
12.5%
Woltmershausen
12º
1
33
12º
16.5%
Vatan Sport
3
32
13º
16.5%
Habenhauser FV
15º
0
31
14º
20%
Leher TS Bremerhaven
3
22
15º
42%
ATSV Sebaldsbrück Bremen
16º
0
9
16º
89.5%
Expected probabilities
OSC Bremerhaven
BTS Neustadt
Play-offs
1.5% 0%
Mid-table
98.5% 98.5%
Relegation
0% 1.5%

ELO progression

OSC Bremerhaven
BTS Neustadt
SG Aumund-Vegesack
Blumenthaler SV
Werder Bremen III
Leher TS Bremerhaven
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

OSC Bremerhaven
OSC Bremerhaven
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2025
OSC
OSC Bremerhaven
6 - 0
Habenhauser FV
HAB
66%
18%
16%
49 40 9 0
08 Aug. 2025
LEH
Leher TS Bremerhaven
1 - 2
OSC Bremerhaven
OSC
9%
15%
76%
49 31 18 0
23 May. 2025
OSC
OSC Bremerhaven
1 - 4
Werder Bremen
BRE
9%
15%
77%
49 92 43 0
16 May. 2025
UNI
Union Bremen
1 - 3
OSC Bremerhaven
OSC
43%
22%
36%
48 47 1 +1
10 May. 2025
OSC
OSC Bremerhaven
2 - 2
Werder Bremen III
WER
62%
20%
19%
47 39 8 +1

Matches

BTS Neustadt
BTS Neustadt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2025
OBE
Oberneuland
8 - 0
BTS Neustadt
BTN
62%
19%
19%
48 53 5 0
09 Aug. 2025
BTN
BTS Neustadt
10 - 1
Woltmershausen
WOL
52%
22%
27%
46 44 2 +2
16 May. 2025
WOL
Woltmershausen
3 - 0
BTS Neustadt
BTN
28%
22%
50%
48 41 7 -2
10 May. 2025
BTN
BTS Neustadt
1 - 4
Blumenthaler SV
BLU
50%
22%
28%
48 46 2 0
04 May. 2025
UNI
Union Bremen
4 - 5
BTS Neustadt
BTN
50%
21%
28%
47 48 1 +1