Os Chaos CF vs Arrabaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Chaos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 4
CHA
48%
20%
32%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 6
VIL
22%
21%
58%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
CHA
49%
20%
31%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 2
SAL
61%
19%
21%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
9 - 0
CHA
45%
21%
35%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arrabaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ARR
2 - 2
ARE
32%
21%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 1
ARR
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ARR
3 - 2
COV
55%
20%
25%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CEN
0 - 0
ARR
32%
23%
45%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARR
1 - 2
RIB
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |