Orvietana Calcio vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
59.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
PIA
0 - 1
ORV
74%
16%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ORV
0 - 2
CAS
26%
24%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
ASD
2 - 1
ORV
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ORV
0 - 2
TOD
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ORV
81%
14%
5%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
PRG
2 - 0
ASD
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 1
PRG
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
PRG
1 - 2
ACM
76%
17%
7%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SSD
0 - 1
PRG
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
PRG
1 - 1
SCA
76%
17%
7%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |