Orusco vs Parque Sureste A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.9%
9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+115%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orusco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
RFC
4 - 0
ORU
15%
16%
69%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SSA
1 - 3
ORU
38%
20%
42%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ORU
4 - 3
FSC
93%
5%
2%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 6
ORU
5%
10%
85%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
DAR
3 - 4
ORU
43%
20%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Parque Sureste A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 2
CAR
60%
19%
22%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 0
PAR
43%
22%
35%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 2
CAR
53%
20%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 3
UDP
58%
19%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 5
PAR
24%
21%
55%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |