Orusco vs CDE Valmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.7%
9.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orusco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
RVM
5 - 4
ORU
67%
17%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ORU
4 - 0
EST
85%
10%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 2
ORU
60%
18%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
BOC
1 - 1
ORU
35%
21%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ORU
1 - 1
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CDE Valmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
VAL
3 - 4
VIL
57%
18%
24%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
PEN
6 - 4
VAL
28%
19%
53%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
VAL
3 - 4
CAR
25%
20%
55%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
TFU
4 - 5
VAL
38%
22%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
UDP
6 - 1
VAL
74%
14%
11%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |