Orotava vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orotava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1995 |
RAF
0 - 0
UDO
31%
29%
41%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1995 |
UDO
5 - 1
ARG
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1995 |
GAL
1 - 1
UDO
50%
26%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1995 |
UDO
3 - 1
VEC
70%
18%
13%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1995 |
GUI
0 - 0
UDO
18%
27%
56%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1995 |
UDI
1 - 1
UDI
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1995 |
ATL
3 - 0
UDI
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1995 |
UDI
3 - 1
MAS
49%
26%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1995 |
CAR
0 - 0
UDI
30%
28%
42%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1995 |
UDI
0 - 0
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |