Aral Nukus vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
ORO
2 - 1
XOR
27%
26%
48%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 1
ORO
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
ORO
0 - 1
XOR
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
OBO
5 - 0
ORO
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
NAS
3 - 0
ORO
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SHO
0 - 1
QIZ
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
QIZ
3 - 2
MAS
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -6 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
NEF
2 - 0
QIZ
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
QIZ
1 - 1
MET
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
QIZ
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |