Ørn Horten vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
FRA
3 - 6
ORN
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
ORN
1 - 2
VID
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
ORN
2 - 1
ALG
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
KIL
2 - 3
ORN
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2010 |
ODD
3 - 0
ORN
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
VAR
3 - 0
ODD
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
1 - 0
VAR
58%
21%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2010 |
RAN
2 - 0
VAR
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
VAR
4 - 0
STA
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2010 |
VIN
3 - 2
VAR
41%
24%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |