Ormiston vs Heriot-Watt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
75.1%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ormiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ORM
0 - 0
STI
20%
18%
62%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ORM
1 - 4
KHE
5%
13%
82%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ORM
0 - 0
LEI
6%
11%
83%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ORM
1 - 0
COL
13%
15%
72%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ORM
2 - 0
BUR
40%
20%
39%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TWR
0 - 6
HER
4%
9%
87%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
PRE
1 - 1
HER
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
PEE
4 - 1
HER
18%
18%
64%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
HER
2 - 3
LOT
16%
18%
66%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BUR
0 - 1
HER
6%
11%
83%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |