MTN8 Cup South Africa Semi-finals
Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
PIR
1 - 1
SFC
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
AMA
1 - 1
PIR
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
PIR
1 - 0
MPU
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -3 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
PIR
1 - 0
SFC
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 1
PIR
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 1
CHI
26%
29%
45%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 3
SUN
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 1
MAR
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 1
CHI
20%
26%
54%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 0
CHI
56%
26%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |