Orión FC vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orión FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LFC
3 - 2
ORI
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
LDA
4 - 2
ORI
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ORI
1 - 4
SAP
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ORI
1 - 3
SAN
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CSC
3 - 1
ORI
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
CSC
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 4
CSH
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAP
2 - 1
SAN
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 0
BEL
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
PFC
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |