1st Division Temporada Regular. Jor. 11

Oriku vs Besa Kavajë analysis

Oriku Besa Kavajë
46 ELO 46
-15.2% Tilt -15.3%
5200º General ELO ranking 5727º
24º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
46.1%
Oriku
25.9%
Draw
28%
Besa Kavajë

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
Oriku
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28%
Win probability
Besa Kavajë
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oriku
-27%
-1%
Besa Kavajë

Points and table prediction

Oriku
Their league position
Besa Kavajë
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
14º
11º
37
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Skënderbeu Korçë
49
49
100%
Dinamo City
47
47
100%
Flamurtari Vlorë
46
46
100%
Tomori Berat
43
43
100%
Korabi Peshkopi
39
39
100%
Luzi 2008
38
38
100%
Apolonia Fier
38
38
100%
Besa Kavajë
37
37
100%
Lushnja
32
32
100%
Burreli
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Oriku
11º
30
30
11º
100%
Turbina Cërrik
12º
26
26
12º
100%
Tërbuni Pukë
13º
24
24
13º
100%
Besëlidhja Lezhë
14º
17
17
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Oriku
Besa Kavajë
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Oriku
Besa Kavajë
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oriku
Oriku
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2022
TUR
Turbina Cërrik
2 - 1
Oriku
ORI
31%
27%
42%
48 41 7 0
05 Nov. 2022
ORI
Oriku
1 - 1
Korabi Peshkopi
KOR
33%
29%
38%
48 53 5 0
30 Oct. 2022
FLA
Flamurtari Vlorë
3 - 0
Oriku
ORI
61%
23%
16%
49 54 5 -1
22 Oct. 2022
ORI
Oriku
3 - 0
Apolonia Fier
APO
34%
29%
37%
47 51 4 +2
15 Oct. 2022
BES
Besëlidhja Lezhë
1 - 0
Oriku
ORI
38%
26%
36%
48 43 5 -1

Matches

Besa Kavajë
Besa Kavajë
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2022
BES
Besa Kavajë
0 - 2
Dinamo City
DIN
33%
28%
39%
46 53 7 0
05 Nov. 2022
TER
Tërbuni Pukë
0 - 1
Besa Kavajë
BES
43%
27%
31%
45 46 1 +1
29 Oct. 2022
BES
Besa Kavajë
1 - 0
Lushnja
LUS
40%
26%
34%
44 47 3 +1
22 Oct. 2022
BES
Besa Kavajë
0 - 0
Luzi 2008
LUZ
37%
26%
37%
44 48 4 0
15 Oct. 2022
TUR
Turbina Cërrik
2 - 4
Besa Kavajë
BES
38%
27%
36%
43 41 2 +1
X