Orihuela CF vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
26.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
JOV
1 - 0
ORI
18%
25%
57%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 0
PAT
50%
26%
23%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 2
ORI
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 1
CUL
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
REQ
0 - 4
ORI
15%
25%
61%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
NOV
4 - 0
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 0
NOV
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 1
RIB
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MUR
3 - 2
NOV
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
7 - 0
UTI
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |