Örgryte vs Gefle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
10.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
HEL
2 - 1
ORG
65%
17%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1933 |
ORG
4 - 3
ELF
72%
15%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1933 |
SAN
1 - 3
ORG
39%
21%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1933 |
ORG
1 - 1
SAN
70%
16%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1933 |
ORG
5 - 3
GAI
47%
22%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
GEF
2 - 5
GAI
18%
18%
65%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
GAI
1 - 2
GEF
87%
8%
5%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1933 |
ISH
2 - 1
GEF
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1933 |
GEF
2 - 1
AIK
27%
21%
53%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1933 |
GEF
2 - 2
HEL
15%
16%
70%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |