CF Orgaceño vs Villa CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Orgaceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ADS
2 - 1
ORG
56%
21%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ORG
1 - 1
AZU
73%
16%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CFA
1 - 3
ORG
59%
21%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ORG
3 - 2
ALC
41%
24%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
ORG
68%
19%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Villa CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 1
CAB
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 4
VIL
38%
25%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
TOL
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
HAL
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ADS
1 - 1
VIL
51%
23%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |