Orellana vs Malpartida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
COR
1 - 1
ORE
43%
27%
30%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
ORE
2 - 0
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1989 |
PEN
1 - 2
ORE
56%
24%
21%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
ORE
0 - 0
ADP
34%
28%
38%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
CDB
1 - 1
ORE
70%
18%
11%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
MAL
1 - 1
CVP
42%
26%
32%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
UCL
1 - 0
MAL
54%
24%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1989 |
MAL
3 - 2
MOR
45%
27%
28%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
CPC
6 - 1
MAL
83%
13%
4%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
MAL
0 - 3
MER
23%
27%
50%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |