Orellana vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
COR
9 - 0
ORE
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ORE
1 - 4
CIU
69%
18%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
SAG
5 - 2
ORE
52%
23%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ORE
1 - 1
GAR
41%
25%
35%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
AMA
2 - 0
ORE
69%
19%
12%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
HER
3 - 0
CAS
56%
23%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
TAL
2 - 3
HER
27%
25%
48%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
HER
1 - 0
MAL
60%
21%
18%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
GIM
1 - 0
HER
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
HER
1 - 2
MOR
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |