FK Orel vs Spartak Tambov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
47.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
8º
12º
12º
14
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 59 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 56 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 53 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 51 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 46 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 44 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 39 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 39 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 37 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 36 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 27 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 27 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 21 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 20 |
15º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KPP
3 - 2
ORE
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 2
KHI
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FDV
1 - 0
ORE
72%
17%
12%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LOK
2 - 0
ORE
90%
8%
3%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ORE
0 - 1
MET
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Tambov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 2
SAL
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ZVE
1 - 1
SPA
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
FKK
29%
22%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 3
DIN
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 1
SPA
74%
16%
11%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |