Oregon State vs California analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oregon State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
OSB
1 - 0
STA
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
WAH
2 - 3
OSB
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
STA
2 - 2
OSB
44%
22%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
CGB
0 - 1
OSB
13%
17%
69%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
OSB
2 - 0
SDS
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
California
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CGB
0 - 4
WAH
9%
16%
75%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
CGB
0 - 1
OSB
13%
17%
69%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
STA
5 - 0
CGB
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
UCB
2 - 1
CGB
63%
19%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
SDS
2 - 0
CGB
45%
22%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |