Oratorio vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 1
ORC
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
YAP
1 - 1
ORC
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
ORC
2 - 0
TDC
23%
19%
58%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SEC
1 - 3
ORC
35%
22%
43%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 1
ORC
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2023 |
SPM
0 - 5
SAN
17%
22%
61%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 0
SPM
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SPM
1 - 1
ECM
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
TDC
5 - 2
SPM
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
YAP
3 - 4
SPM
49%
26%
25%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |