Oratorio vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
ORC
1 - 0
MAC
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2011 |
CRI
0 - 2
ORC
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ORC
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
TDC
0 - 1
ORC
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
YAP
1 - 1
ORC
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
YAP
33%
24%
43%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
IAP
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ORC
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
SPM
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAO
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +4 |