Oranje Nassau vs Drachtster Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
8º
4º
25
7º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
26.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oranje Nassau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FVC
1 - 7
ORA
10%
16%
75%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ORA
3 - 0
LEE
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PKC
3 - 2
ORA
36%
22%
43%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TFE
2 - 0
ORA
7%
13%
80%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | -3 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ORA
2 - 2
BRO
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Drachtster Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 4
PKC
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BLA
3 - 0
DRA
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 3
DRA
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 1
ONS
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 2
DRA
36%
21%
43%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |