Optik Rathenow vs Tasmania Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
29.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
14º
12º
35
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 76 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 72 |
2º
|
88% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 57 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 47 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 38 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 34 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
14º
|
93% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 23 |
15º
|
97% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 9 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Optik Rathenow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MAL
4 - 2
OPT
8%
16%
76%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
OPT
1 - 3
LAS
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
OPT
4 - 0
BAK
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
OPT
0 - 4
VIK
11%
18%
72%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
OPT
3 - 0
HER
28%
23%
50%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
TAS
1 - 3
SFC
59%
20%
22%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
TAS
6 - 0
CHA
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
TAS
1 - 1
PRE
17%
18%
66%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
TAS
1 - 2
BAB
14%
21%
66%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
TAS
1 - 1
SCS
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |