Optik Rathenow vs CFC Hertha 06 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
14º
10º
0
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Optik Rathenow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 4
OPT
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
OPT
3 - 0
RSV
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OPT
1 - 1
DSC
66%
17%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
OPT
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +3 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
OPT
1 - 1
LIC
11%
18%
71%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
CFC Hertha 06
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
HER
3 - 1
HER
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
BWB
2 - 2
HER
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
VIK
3 - 0
HER
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
OPT
3 - 0
HER
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -3 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
HER
3 - 1
TAS
55%
22%
24%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +2 |