OPS vs OTP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
9º
9º
7
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
SJJ
2 - 1
OPS
49%
20%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GBK
4 - 2
OPS
45%
23%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OPS
2 - 2
NAR
68%
18%
15%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OPS
1 - 1
TP4
47%
23%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OPS
1 - 0
HAU
73%
15%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
OTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
OTP
0 - 1
JPS
72%
15%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OTP
1 - 2
KUO
52%
20%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
OTP
0 - 3
FFJ
14%
19%
68%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
GBK
2 - 0
OTP
43%
23%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 2
OTP
45%
22%
33%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |